Anyone for fractional real estate in Central America?
January 9th, 2007
It isn’t easy to find fractional real estate for sale in Central America. Not right now. But the market is steadily evolving and fractionals are destined to become a hot trend in future years particularly in the vacation home sector.
For fractional buyers it is often not a matter of being unable to afford a vacation home, but a case of not wanting the hassle and expense of maintaining a home 52 weeks of the year when they are likely to occupy it only for two or three weeks each year. It is simply a matter of cost-justifying the limited use of their home, especially if they have multiple second home/vacation properties.
At the same time, buyers do not want to compromise on questions of value, equity and other benefits of second-home ownership. That is why, unlike time share, the fractional real estate product has evolved to include fee simple deeded ownership complete with title insurance. This ownership can be passed down through the generations in perpetuity or resold in the same way as general real estate.
The key to the success of fractionals is their professional management. Most are operated by well-respected hospitality companies known worldwide. Among them are Ritz Carlton, Four Seasons, Starwood, Intrawest and Millennium, brands known for their five-star services and amenities. Part of the appeal of fractionals is that they are completely hassle free. To date there have been very few fractional resort developments in Central America positioned at the luxury end of the market (with the notable exception of the Four Seasons at Papagayo in Costa Rica).
We are still at the beginning of it all in Central America. And fractional real estate products are just one example of more sophisticated product offerings that are beginning to emerge in Central America. Have a look at the Ground Floor for a broader discussion of fractionals alongside destination clubs and condo hotels.
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A recent profitability report released by Amerblamb concludes that the Belize real estate market will be a slow burner in 2007.
To quote the report: “To us Belize is a dichotomy, on the one hand it has everything going for it - for example it’s stunningly beautiful, it’s a former British colony where English is still spoken and where the legal and political systems are still based on their British equivalents and are transparent, it is politically and economically stable, property prices are relatively cheap, the cost of living is low and transport links to North America are good. But on the other hand Belize is not achieving its potential as a major tourism destination, its not managing to attract enough retires or wealthy expatriates despite various highly attractive tax sheltering incentives and as a result its property market isn’t nearly as exciting as it could be. Maybe we’re being too hard on Belize, but really we had hoped for more and going in to 2007 Belize real estate profitability and the prospects for the entire property market are okay but less than thrilling. ” Click here to read full report.
We agree that the Government in Belize could be doing much more to promote tourism. After all, the tourist trade generates over 80% of tax revenues for the country. After a series of somewhat hasty tax rises over the past year, it seems that the Government is now beginning to take a more long sighted position. The reversal of the 15% stamp duty tax back to 5% for example is a sign that things are moving again in the right direction. The positive effects of this reversal are beginning to be felt in the real estate market but are likely to filter through more strongly towards the end of 2007. It is not only tourism that is driving the real estate market in Belize - a large number of investors are buying for future retirement. Belize stands out in this regard as you don’t have to scrimp on amenities and infrastructure quality to get an affordable property, as can be the case elsewhere in the region.
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Real estate search going global
January 5th, 2007
According to the Economist, the developed country real estate boom has created more than 30 trillion dollars between 2000 and 2005. This trend has given a lot of people a lot of buying power. Armed with this mountain of equity many investors are looking to diversify their real estate portfolio by turning their attention outside US where property prices are looking more attractive than ever.
Better information over the internet, globalisation, better airline services, a growing tourism and leisure industry are all factors that are supporting this growth in international real estate purchasing. It is not only the adventurous who are taking this step the attraction of cheaper properties and in some cases, warmer climes, is attracting the more docile investor.
“The foreign second homes market will continue to explode in the coming years, this is not a temporary trend” according to Jeff Hornberger, International market Development Manager at the National Association of Realtors quoted in a recent edition of 2nd Home journal. We agree, a slow down in the US market is likely to shift investor attention overseas as they look for better candidates for capital appreciation.
It remains to be seen how severe the slowdown will be. Cheaper international destinations may remain immune. But there may be a cooling effect on the luxury end of the international real estate market if the slowdown is severe.
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Costa Rica property market success will continue in 2007
January 4th, 2007
There are no two ways about it, Costa Rica is booming and its property market is already an unmitigated success story; but fear not for there are a whole host of factors, including some about to come into play for the first time that will ensure that Costa Rica’s property market success will continue in 2007.
Despite the fact that Costa Rica has had an exciting property market for the past decade it is still considered to be an emerging market because of the record gains that are still achievable and also because its real estate market success has not yet been duplicated across the entire country.
While it remains an emerging market and yet one stable, secure and with so many factors ensuring its appeal, high gains will be made on properties bought and also on land banked in 2007.
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At what stage of a “development curve” are we investing?
January 2nd, 2007
Emerging real estate markets tend to follow an S shaped development curve. Knowing where on the curve a particular market is helps you to decide whether the risk/reward profile is right for you. At the top of the curve lie the more ‘mature’ markets with more speculative or ‘pioneer’ markets found at earlier stages.
Markets early in the curve tend to be good candidates for short term capital appreciation. But inherent risks are high and infrastructure quality tends to be low. More mature markets, located at later stages in the development curve, have a lower risk environment based typically on an established tourism (and retirement) market and strong sense of economic and political stability. Strong rental possibilities exist in property hot spots and luxury (often branded) offerings can be found on the market. Middle markets fall somewhere in between - not really emerging but also not quite fully developed.

We plan to plot counties in Central America on this graph and also dig deeper into individual regions. There may be instances that a property hot spot in a particular country has the characteristics of a ‘mature’ destination while the county as a whole appears to have ‘pioneer’ attributes. We have our ideas but would be interested in your thoughts on where you would place different counties and regions on a development curve such as this one. It is also possible to draw some general conclusions on the main types of buyers active at different stages on a development curve for Central America.
From Reveal Real Estate - charting international real estate trends in Central America.
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Who is buying property in Central America?
January 2nd, 2007
There has been a trend in recent years for many North American and European buyers to purchase real estate in what are seen as developing or emerging economies. In Europe much of the focus has been on the emerging economies of the former Soviet Union as well as Morocco and southern Europe. In North America the focus has been very strongly on the Caribbean, Central and Latin America. The US State Department estimates that about 380,000 Social Security cheques are delivered to beneficiaries outside the US each month. Almost four million Americans, not including embassy officials and the military, are now living overseas.
Many Central American countries offer impressive incentive packages for retirees. Coley Huggins describes the economic benefit of a retiree migration to Central America as a two way street. “Retirees get a lower cost of living, warm weather and cheap[er] housing and create a virtuous cycle in return: more retirees equals more local jobs, resulting in more economic stability and less political stability, resulting in more retirees”
A buyer typology prepared by Coldwell Banker Nicaragua Real Estate
Speculators / investors - a buyer group interested in making the most money on a minimum investment. They tend to buy lots/raw land early on in the real estate growth cycle of a developing country before prices rise as amenities are built, buying community grows and turnkey products begin to be offered. Many never build and most are interested in future, short to medium term resale of investment for a substantial profit to offset the risk of early investment.
Second home investors - a buyer group interested mainly in the rental income return of turnkey or built properties. They need to be convinced of the potential for rental income and so are focused on issues such as tourism growth, rate of sale of surrounding properties, access to amenities for potential renters, security and safety aspects. Condominiums, townhouses, house/land packages are popular with this grouping. The setting in which the home exists (ie its surroundings) is also a primary consideration. Many young professionals or entrepreneurs fall into this buying type.
Second home users - a buyer group focused mainly on personal use of the property they purchase. They are usually already affluent and own more than one home, often in different parts of the world. They are interested in escaping harsh climates for all or part of the year and want seasonal/vacation homes where the lifestyle and amenities/activities contrast with their primary residence. They generally do not rent their property and purchase lots/land in anticipation of future building or condominiums where available. A lifestyle, a sense of community and feeling of belonging, privacy and security are important to this group.
Retirement and pre-retirement buyers - These buyers are typically 5-6 years from retirement and are quite similar in overall characteristics to the second home user category. They do however, have more of an emphasis on the issues of security, availability of health facilities, access and proximity to urban centres. Privacy is less of a concern as many are interested in building new relationships and being part of a community. Typically have purchased lots but with the growth in turnkey product this profile is changing. They are often downsizing from larger family homes in country of origin and cost is a key consideration in any purchase.
Not for Uncle Sam buyers - this buying group cross-cuts the other groups and is characterised by a desire to ensure that they profit from investments outside their home country and these profits are not always repatriated to their home country. They are often interested in the freedom from restrictions (financial and otherwise) offered by many developing countries. As such their key focus is on price point and resale opportunities whilst buying something they can enjoy in the here and now.
Commercial investors - This final group is motivated by the return on capital invested and invests at a larger scale than the above groups and, generally, for the longer term. The type of commercial investor entering the market will vary greatly depending on the perceived maturity and stability of the real estate market in general and the wider legal, political and economic investment environment.
Changes in buyer profile for markets at different positions on a development curve
An understanding of the changes in buyer profiles over time can give an indication as to where buyers for different markets in Central America will come from in the future. The graph below considers the buyer characteristics at different stages in a development curve. Speculators make up the bulk of investors in markets at earlier stages with second home and retirement buyers representing a second and third wave of investing as markets develop and mature.

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Luxury launch follows luxury launch
January 2nd, 2007
Most indications point to the investment climate in Costa Rica remaining strong: latest reports indicate that the country is on target to notch a 6.5% growth in GDP for 2006 beating earlier predictions; Intel and Hewlett Packard plan to expand their Costa Rica operations over the next 18 months; and a plethora of new luxury banded real estate developments are ready to launch to accompany the existing Four Seasons and Marriott ventures. There is a real sense that the early risks have been taken and the ‘big boys’ are moving in. Costa Rica has more real estate projects by established international property companies backed up by high quality international marketing campaigns than any other country in Central America. A momentum has been building over the last three years, particularly in the Guanacaste province in the north of the county, with luxury launch following luxury launch, all in relatively close proximity to Liberia international airport.
Perhaps a little unexpectedly, tourism for the last 12 months to October 2006 is slightly down according to la Prensa Latina. For now, though, Costa Rica does appears to warrant its label in the CIA World Fact book as a ‘Central American Success Story.’
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